I was at a conference in Nashville recently and listened to a keynote presentation by a "futurist" who studies trends and tries to predict what will happen over the next 50 years or so. So he talked about a lot of things-- impact on rising energy costs, aging of the US population, growth of emerging markets, etc. But one of his 8-10 trends he was forecasting for the next 50 years is that the wristwatch will basically go the way of the pocket watch and become an anachronism. His reason? No, not the iWatch (in fact he predicted the failure of the iWatch and similar devices)... but rather the mobile phone. His argument is that the mobile phone is taking the place of many devices (music player, gps, calculator, gaming device, personal organizer, etc) and that the watch will be just one more thing... he said kids in school today largely dont wear watches because they can just "check their phone" for the time.
I am very dubious about this claim for several reasons
1) I wear a watch as much as a fashion accessory than for the time (tho i suppose pocket watches were like that too)
2) as far as kids go.. i have 5 kids and the ones who are school age arent allowed to have phones in school... so i fthey want to know the time they have to wear a watch.. and I figure if they get used to wearing a watch for the first 15 years or so of life then prob they will keep doing so (tho I have no particular agenda)
3) its still more work to take my phone out of my pocket than glance at my watch...
Still tho this guy is like this super famous guy who predicted some major things in the last few decades... I think he was from USC.. well known guy (forget his name at this second)..
What do you guys think?